Abstract
Power grid enterprises are changing their function orientation and profit model under the background of new power system reform. Vector autoregressive model used for industrial park to forecast load of distributed energy is created in this paper, which provides the data to the analysis of the investment environment of grid enterprises. We excavate the core influencing factors of grid investment in incremental distribution parks based on the linkage of grid investment influencing factors in system dynamics.
Highlights
Power grid enterprises are changing their function orientation and profit model under the background of new power system reform
The focus of the electricity market reform is to strictly control grid profits, so given the government's control actions, the actual investment of the grid company is not reflected in each year's transmission and distribution price; instead, it is gradually reflected in the regulatory cycle through the accumulation of certain regulatory cycles
This paper analyses the impact of the new situation on the investment efficiency of power grids from the aspects of load forecasting for industrial parks based on the vector autoregressive model (VAR) models, transmission and distribution price reform, electricity sales side market reform, incremental distribution grid reform and energy transformation and clean substitution, laying a theoretical foundation for the subsequent determination of the factors influencing the investment efficiency of power grid enterprises and the establishment of the model
Summary
Power grid enterprises are changing their function orientation and profit model under the background of new power system reform.
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