Abstract

Energy efficiency topics have been covered by several energy management approaches in the literature, including participation in demand response programs where the consumers provide load reduction upon request or price signals. In such approaches, it is very important to know in advance the electricity consumption for the future to adequately perform the energy management. In the present paper, a load forecasting service designed for office buildings is implemented. In the building, using several available sensors, different learning parameters and structures are tested for artificial neural networks and the K-nearest neighbor algorithm. Deep focus is given to the individual period errors. In the case study, the forecasting of one week of electricity consumption is tested. It has been concluded that it is impossible to identify a single combination of learning parameters as different parts of the day have different consumption patterns.

Highlights

  • Solutions involving smart grids consist of an adequate consumer schedule aimed to reduce the electricity consumption in particular periods [5]

  • This paper provides a methodology to improve electricity consumption forecasting accuracy with sensor data measured by different devices, including presence, temperature, consumption, and humidity

  • System can makedeautoncisions for participation in demand response programs issued by the distribution omous decisions for participation in demand response programs issued by network the distribuoperator

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Summary

Introduction

Load Forecasting in Energy consumption forecast is very important in the context of energy consumption management towards improved energy efficiency. The forecast’s accuracy may be improved based on retraining with a fixed size of training, discarding older information while retaining new information. Smart grids are implemented in many of these markets, supporting efficient energy use [4]. Solutions involving smart grids consist of an adequate consumer schedule aimed to reduce the electricity consumption in particular periods [5]. These solutions are contextualized when markets launch demand response programs to make the consumption schedule adequate to reduce electricity costs interpreted by peaks [6]

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