Abstract

Over the last decades roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) populations have increased in number and distribution throughout Europe. Such increases have profound impacts on ecosystems, both positive and negative. Therefore monitoring roe deer populations is essential for the appropriate management of this species, in order to achieve a balance between conservation and mitigation of the negative impacts. Despite being required for an effective management plan, the study of roe deer ecology in Portugal is at an early stage, and hence there is still a complete lack of knowledge of roe deer density within its known range. Distance sampling of pellet groups coupled with production and decay rates for pellet groups provided density estimates for roe deer in northeastern Portugal (Lombada National Hunting Area - LNHA, Serra de Montesinho – SM and Serra da Nogueira – SN; LNHA and SM located in Montesinho Natural Park). The estimated roe deer density using a stratified detection function was 1.23/100 ha for LNHA, 4.87/100 ha for SM and 4.25/100 ha in SN, with 95% confidence intervals (CI) of 0.68 to 2.21, 3.08 to 7.71 and 2.25 to 8.03, respectively. For the entire area, the estimated density was about 3.51/100 ha (95% CI - 2.26–5.45). This method can provide estimates of roe deer density, which will ultimately support management decisions. However, effective monitoring should be based on long-term studies that are able to detect population fluctuations. This study represents the initial phase of roe deer monitoring at the edge of its European range and intends to fill the gap in this species ecology, as the gathering of similar data over a number of years will provide the basis for stronger inferences. Monitoring should be continued, although the study area should be increased to evaluate the accuracy of estimates and assess the impact of management actions.

Highlights

  • Over the past few decades ungulates have experienced an expansion throughout Europe both in number and distribution [1]

  • We aim to determine for the first time roe deer population densities in northeastern Portugal, analyzing data from conventional pellet group counts within the distance sampling framework, while accounting for geographic stratification and the influence of covariates in the detection function

  • The density estimates per stratum were 1.23/100 ha for LNHA, 4.87/100 ha ha for SM and 4.25/100 for SN and the global density estimate was 3.51/100 ha (Table 2)

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Summary

Introduction

Over the past few decades ungulates have experienced an expansion throughout Europe both in number and distribution [1]. Socioeconomic changes were the main driver of this expansion: rural exodus with abandonment of agricultural lands, and consequent re-naturalization of the habitats, in addition to more effective laws regarding the creation of protected areas and control of poaching [2], [3]. Such ungulate expansion can promote changes in ecosystems and can result in a negative impact e.g. on forest regeneration, promote disease transmission and lead to increased traffic collisions [4], [5]. It is crucial to monitor these populations and build effective management plans, supported by reliable wildlife monitoring, to prevent problems arising from the increasing populations and to exploit the potential benefits from such an increase

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