Lithium-Ion Batteries Long Horizon Health Prognostic Using Machine Learning

Abstract

Long horizon state of health (SOH) monitoring and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction are of industrial value in prognostic and health management (PHM) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) to ensure their reliable functionality by early detection. Machine Learning, as a data-driven health diagnostic technique, has been widely utilized in solitary and hybrid structures. However, an accurate SOH estimation and RUL prediction method with less computational burden are highly desirable for the online state prediction in an electric vehicle application. This paper evaluates nonlinear autoregressive with external input (NARX) recurrent neural network (RNN) and time delay neural network (TDNN) in their prediction precision using the NASA dataset. The superior method, NARXRNN, is employed for two different datasets to estimate the battery's SOH and predict its RUL on a broad horizon. The results reveal the outstanding performance by presenting the root mean square error within 3% and mean absolute error within 2% for unseen data. Therefore, this method is capable to accurately predict the SOH of LIBS from historical data at low computational complexity. It is a promising model for long horizon SOH and RUL prediction and practical for online applications.