Abstract

Objective. To evaluate the relationship between immunological parameters and functional outcome in patients with varying severity of ischemic stroke based on statistical methodology.Materials and methods. The prospective study included 78 patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke, who were distributed into two groups: group 1 — 38 mild stroke patients, NIHSS score < 5, group 2 — 40 moderate stroke patients, NIHSS score 5–15. Signs of stroke severity, degree of disability, cognitive decline, and activities of daily living were chosen as criteria to estimate the functional outcome by calculating the difference between the NIHSS, mRS, MoCA, and BI scales at the time of admission and on Day 12 of hospital stay. Lab tests included assessment of plasma concentrations of CXC and CC subfamilies of cytokines, interleukins and TNF-a on Day 2 of hospital stay. Machine learning algorithms, the Python programming language, the Pandas and SciPy libraries, and discriminant analysis were used for statistical processing.Results. The following parameters were found as significant: concentrations of IL-1b and MPIF-1/CCL23 for — for group 1, and concentrations of IL-16, MPIF-1/CCL23, Eotaxin-2/CCL24, Gro-a/CXCL1 and IL-8/CXCL8 for group 2 patients. Positive correlation was established between NIHSS dynamics and concentrations of TNF-a (R=0.227, P=0.001), MPIF-1/CCL23 (R=0.380, P=0.00061) and Gro-a/CXCL1 (R=0.211, P=0.00001), and between changes in mRS and concentrations of MPIF-1/CCL23 (R=0.277, P=0.00006), Gro-a/CXCL1 (R=0.211, P=0.0075) and IL-16 (R=0, 211, P=0.00001). There was a significant negative correlation between cognitive dysfunction and concentrations of Eotaxin-2/CCL24 (R=–0.378, P=0.00075), Gro-a/CXCL1 (R=–0.313, P=0.0035), and IP-10/CXCL1 (R=–0.214, P=0.00023), and between limited activities of daily living (IB) and concentrations of MPIF-1/CCL23 (R=–0.345, P=0.0024) and Gro-a/CXCL1 (R=–0.210, P=0.00001).Conclusion. Chemokines form the CC family — MPIF-1/CCL23 and Eotaxin-2/CCL24, and the CXC-Gro-a/CXCL1 and IL-16 clusters are the principal cytokines associated with the dynamics of patient’s motor and cognitive functions recovery in the acute period of ischemic stroke. Although obtained results demonstrate negative effect of increased MPIF-1/CCL23, Gro-a/CXCL1, IL-16 and Eotaxin-2/CCL24 concentrations on the improvement of motor and cognitive impairments, further studies are needed to verify the CXC and CC subfamilies chemokines as prognostic markers of patient’s functional outcome in the acute period of ischemic stroke.

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