Linkages between urban growth and land surface temperature variations in the Seoul metropolitan area: A spatial first-order difference approach

Abstract

This study investigates the effects of urban development and expansion on Land Surface Temperature (LST) changes from 2000 to 2018, using the Seoul Metropolitan area (SMA) as a case study area. Along with descriptive analysis, this study uses a spatial first-order difference model to statistically analyze the longitudinal relationship between land use features and LST, including impervious surface (IS), enhanced vegetation index (EVI), anthropogenic factors, and urban spatial and topographical factors as well as urban development types as influential factors on LST variations. Our findings support prior research indicating the cooling effects of vegetation and warming effects of imperviousness. We also found a positive association between detached housing units, manufacturing activities and LST changes and a negative relationship between apartment units, urban parks, service activities and LST changes. More importantly, substantial LST reduction was found in the large-scale high-rise apartment complexes redeveloped from the low-rise, detached housing sites in inner-city infill areas, contrasting with significant LST rise in the suburban new town development. We suggest redevelopment of inner-city low-rise compact areas into high-rise but greener blocks as a LST mitigation strategy, equipped with cooling strategies such as green infrastructure and climate-sensitive design considering local microclimate and natural ventilation.