Limits on Runoff Episode Duration for Early Mars: Integrating Lake Hydrology and Climate Models

Abstract

AbstractFluvio‐lacustrine features on the martian surface attest to a climate that was radically different in the past. Since climate models have difficulty sustaining a liquid hydrosphere at the surface, multiple cycles of runoff episodes may have characterized the ancient Mars climate. A fundamental question thus remains: what was the duration of these runoff‐producing episodes? Here we use morphometric measurements from newly identified coupled lake systems, containing both an open‐ and a closed‐basin lake (n = 7). We combined hydrological balances with precipitation outputs from climate models, and found that breaching runoff episodes likely lasted yr; other episodes may have been shorter but could not be longer. Runoff episode durations are model‐dependent and spatially variable, and no climate model scenario can satisfy a unique duration for all coupled systems. In the near future, these quantitative constraints on early Mars lake persistence may be tested through in situ observations from Perseverance rover.