Abstract

Background:Anal cancer incidence increases with age and is higher in women than men. Risk factors in this group other than high-risk human papillomavirus infection are unclear.Methods:In all, 1.3 million women were recruited in 1996–2001 and followed for incident anal cancer. Cox regression models were used to calculate relative risks (RRs) for anal cancer by various potential risk factors.Results:Five hundred and seventeen incident anal cancers were registered over 13 years of follow-up. The largest RR was associated with a history of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN 3; RR=4.03, 95% CI 2.59–6.28). Other factors associated with significantly increased risks in multivariate analyses were: ever smoking (RR=1.49, 1.24–1.80); previous use of oral contraceptives (RR=1.51, 1.24–1.83); nulliparity (RR=1.61, 1.24–2.07); tubal ligation (RR=1.39, 1.13–1.70) and not living with a partner (RR=1.82, 1.40–2.38). The association with smoking was significantly greater for squamous cell carcinoma than adenocarcinoma of the anus (RR 1.66 vs 0.89, P for heterogeneity=0.04).Conclusions:History of CIN 3, smoking, past oral contraceptive use, nulliparity, tubal ligation and not living with a partner are risk factors for anal cancer in women. There was a significant increase in risk associated with smoking for squamous cell anal cancers but not adenocarcinomas.

Highlights

  • Anal cancer incidence increases with age and is higher in women than men

  • The largest relative risks (RRs) was associated with a history of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3 (CIN 3; RR 1⁄4 4.03, 95% CI 2.59–6.28)

  • There are very few cases of anal cancer before age 40; in England in 2012 64% (665) of the 1043 registered anal cancer cases occurred in women and 88% (584) of the female cases were in women aged over 50 years

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Summary

Objectives

Our aim is to examine reproductive, lifestyle, hormonal, and other risk factors for incident anal cancers in women aged over 50 years in a large cohort of UK women

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