Abstract

Estimating uncertainty in predictions made by neural networks is critically important for increasing the trust medical experts have in automatic data analysis results. In segmentation tasks, quantifying levels of confidence can provide meaningful additional information to aid clinical decision making. In recent work, we proposed an interpretable uncertainty measure to aid clinicians in assessing the reliability of developmental dysplasia of the hip metrics measured from 3D ultrasound screening scans, as well as that of the US scan itself. In this work, we propose a technique to quantify confidence in the associated segmentation process that incorporates voxel-wise uncertainty into the binary loss function used in the training regime, which encourages the network to concentrate its training effort on its least certain predictions. We propose using a Bayesian-based technique to quantify 3D segmentation uncertainty by modifying the loss function within an encoder-decoder type voxel labeling deep network. By appending a voxel-wise uncertainty measure, our modified loss helps the network improve prediction uncertainty for voxels that are harder to train. We validate our approach by training a Bayesian 3D U-Net with the proposed modified loss function on a dataset comprising 92 clinical 3D US neonate scans and test on a separate hold-out dataset of 24 patients. Quantitatively, we show that the Dice score of ilium and acetabulum segmentation improves by 5% when trained with our proposed voxel-wise uncertainty loss compared to training with standard cross-entropy loss. Qualitatively, we further demonstrate how our modified loss function results in meaningful reduction of voxel-wise segmentation uncertainty estimates, with the network making more confident accurate predictions. We proposed a Bayesian technique to encode voxel-wise segmentation uncertainty information into deep neural network optimization, and demonstrated how it can be leveraged into meaningful confidence measures to improve the model's predictive performance.

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