Abstract

A series of case studies designed to further acceptance of read-across predictions, especially for chronic health-related endpoints, have been evaluated with regard to the knowledge and insight they provide. A common aim of these case studies was to examine sources of uncertainty associated with read-across. While uncertainty is related to the quality and quantity of the read across endpoint data, uncertainty also includes a variety of other factors, the foremost of which is uncertainty associated with the justification of similarity and quantity and quality of data for the source chemical(s). This investigation has demonstrated that the assessment of uncertainty associated with a similarity justification includes consideration of the information supporting the scientific arguments and the data associated with the chemical, toxicokinetic and toxicodynamic similarity. Similarity in chemistry is often not enough to justify fully a read-across prediction, thus, for chronic health endpoints, toxicokinetic and/or toxicodynamic similarity is essential. Data from New Approach Methodology(ies) including high throughput screening, in vitro and in chemico assay and in silico tools, may provide critical information needed to strengthen the toxicodynamic similarity rationale. In addition, it was shown that toxicokinetic (i.e., ADME) similarity, especially metabolism, is often the driver of the overall uncertainty.

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