Abstract

ABSTRACTOBJECTIVE To analyze, stratifield by gender, trends of the new case leprosy detection rates in the general population and in children; of grade 2 disability, and of proportion of multibacillary cases, in the state of Bahia, Brazil from 2001 to 2014.METHODS A time series study based on leprosy data from the National Information System for Notifiable Diseases. The time trend analysis included Poisson regression models by infection points (Joinpoint) stratified by gender.RESULTS There was a total of 40,054 new leprosy cases with a downward trend of the overall detection rate (Average Annual Percent Change [AAPC = -0.4, 95%CI -2.8–1.9] and a non-significant increase in children under 15 years (AAPC = 0.2, 95%CI -3.9–4.5). The proportion of grade 2 disability among new cases increased significantly (AAPC = 4.0, 95%CI 1.3–6.8), as well as the proportion of multibacillary cases (AAPC = 2.2, 95%CI 0.1–4.3). Stratification by gender showed a downward trend of detection rates in females and no significant change in males; in females, there was a more pronounced upward trend of the proportion of multibacillary and grade 2 disability cases.CONCLUSIONS Leprosy is still highly endemic in the state of Bahia, with active transmission, late diagnosis, and a probable hidden endemic. There are different gender patterns, indicating the importance of early diagnosis and prompt treatment, specifically in males without neglecting the situation among females.

Highlights

  • Eliana Amorim de SouzaI, Anderson Fuentes FerreiraII, Reagan Nzundu BoignyII, Carlos Henrique AlencarIII, Jorg HeukelbachIII,IV, Francisco Rogerlândio Martins-MeloV, Jaqueline Caracas BarbosaIII, Alberto Novaes Ramos Jr.III

  • Distribuição espacial dos coeficientes de detecção geral de casos novos da hanseníase por 100.000 mil habitantes (A), coeficiente de detecção em menores de 15 anos por 100.000 mil habitantes (B), coeficiente de detecção com grau 2 de incapacidade física no momento do diagnóstico por 100.000 mil habitantes (C) e proporção de casos multibacilares (D)

  • Conflito de Interesses: Os autores declaram não haver conflito de interesses

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Summary

Área de Estudo

Localizado na região Nordeste do Brasil, o estado da Bahia é o maior em extensão (564.830,859 km2) e em população (15.203.934 habitantes em 2015) dessa regiãod. Os 417 municípios que o compõem estão distribuídos, do ponto de vista organizacional, em nove Núcleos Regionais de Saúde (Figura 1)

Extremo sul
Desenho de Estudo e Fonte de Dados
Análise Estatística
Proporção de MB
Findings
Proporção de casos multibacilares

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