Abstract

Third molars are one of the few biological markers available for age estimation in juveniles, especially for the estimation of the 18-year-age threshold. Literature has indicated that impaction has an influence on the development of third molars, which could possibly result in age misclassifications. The present study is intended to identify an alternative cut-off value of the third molar maturity index (I3M) in impacted mandibular third molars and also to evaluate its applicability in estimating the major (≥ 18years)/minor (< 18years) status. A total of 1330 digital orthopantomograms (OPGs) of 665 male and 665 female south Indian adolescents aged from 15 to 22years were collected and assessed. Eight hundred forty OPGs (63.1%) represented test sample, and 490 OPGs (36.9%) represented validation sample. I3M was measured for the total sample. Logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, and Youden's index were used to test the performance of the method in the test sample. An alternative cut-off value of I3M < 0.17 was established for the highest value of the Youden's index of 0.598 for both sexes. When tested in validation sample, it has resulted in sensitivity and specificity values of 0.91 (95% CI; 0.86-0.95) and 0.90 (95% CI; 0.78-0.91) in males and 0.86 (95% CI; 0.80-0.92) and 0.90 (95% CI; 0.83-0.95) in females. In conclusion, cut-off value of I3M < 0.17 could accurately discriminate adults from minors with impacted mandibular third molars. However, more work is needed to be done among a more diverse sample to confirm these findings.

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