Abstract

Discovering anomalous bus trajectories can benefit transportation agencies to improve their services by helping them to deal with unexpected events such as detours or accidents. In this work, we propose a deep-learning strategy, which we name Spatial-Temporal Outlier Detector (STOD), that predicts the spatial/temporal anomaly degree of a bus trajectory by using learned representations of its GPS points. To calculate the score, STOD learns the regular behavior of bus trajectories by building a model that predicts the route id of buses. The degree of uncertainty on this prediction, measured by the entropy of the output class probability distribution, indicates the anomaly score of the trajectory. To perform the classification, STOD represents each point of a trajectory by the concatenation of two different representations. The first one (PAC embedding) is generated by the Point Activity Classifier (PAC) by leveraging temporal and spatial features on a stacked deep-learning model to predict the semantics of the point in terms of its bus activity (in route, bus stop, traffic signal, and other stops). The second representation (Geo embedding) captures the spatial relationship between a point and its geographical neighbors by applying a word embedding technique on the set of all trajectories. The experimental evaluation shows that our model is effective for filtering noisy trajectories since it outputs higher anomaly scores for both spatial and temporal anomalous trajectories than regular ones.

Highlights

  • P UBLIC transportation is responsible for a reasonable part of ridership in big urban areas

  • We evaluated the Spatial-Temporal Outlier Detector (STOD)(geo,pac) model as a trajectory encoder that receives as input a raw trajectory and uses the intermediate mappings and non-linearities performed in the network to produce a dense vector representation of the trajectory (STOD embedding)

  • The solution relies on a deep learning multi-class classification model (STOD)

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Summary

Introduction

P UBLIC transportation is responsible for a reasonable part of ridership in big urban areas. To give some numbers: 35% of the workers in London commute by public transportation and 31% in São Paulo. To give some numbers: 35% of the workers in London commute by public transportation and 31% in São Paulo1 The quality of this service has a great impact on city people’s lives. Among the public transportation modes, transit buses are the most affected by unexpected factors (e.g., heavy traffic or accidents) since they share the roads with other vehicles and have a fixed route line. These factors can lead buses to present spatial or temporal behavior differently than usual. Finding such anomalies might help transportation agencies improving its services, for example, by releasing more buses according to demand, redefining routes due to an accident or notifying bus drivers about detours

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