Abstract

As one of the most common types of graphical models, the Bayesian classifier has become an extremely popular approach to dealing with uncertainty and complexity. The scoring functions once proposed and widely used for a Bayesian network are not appropriate for a Bayesian classifier, in which class variable C is considered as a distinguished one. In this paper, we aim to clarify the working mechanism of Bayesian classifiers from the perspective of the chain rule of joint probability distribution. By establishing the mapping relationship between conditional probability distribution and mutual information, a new scoring function, Sum_MI, is derived and applied to evaluate the rationality of the Bayesian classifiers. To achieve global optimization and high dependence representation, the proposed learning algorithm, the flexible K-dependence Bayesian (FKDB) classifier, applies greedy search to extract more information from the K-dependence network structure. Meanwhile, during the learning procedure, the optimal attribute order is determined dynamically, rather than rigidly. In the experimental study, functional dependency analysis is used to improve model interpretability when the structure complexity is restricted.

Highlights

  • Graphical models [1,2] provide a natural tool for dealing with two problems that occur throughout applied mathematics and engineering: uncertainty and complexity

  • A Bayesian network (BN) is a type of statistical model consisting of a set of conditional probability distributions and a directed acyclic graph (DAG), in which the nodes denote a set of random variables and arcs describing conditionaldependence relationship between them

  • The working mechanisms of three classical restricted Bayesian classifiers, i.e., NB, tree-augmented naive Bayes (TAN) and K-dependence Bayesian network (KDB), are analyzed and evaluated from the perspectives of the chain rule and information quantity implicated in the graphical structure

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Summary

Introduction

Graphical models [1,2] provide a natural tool for dealing with two problems that occur throughout applied mathematics and engineering: uncertainty and complexity. If the Bayesian classifier can be constructed based on Equation (2), the corresponding model is “optimal”, since all conditional dependencies implicated in the joint probability distribution are fully described, and the main term determining the classification will take every attribute into account. This paper first establishes the mapping relationship between conditional probability distribution and mutual information, proposes to evaluate the rationality of the Bayesian classifier from the perspective of information quantity. The working mechanisms of three classical restricted Bayesian classifiers, i.e., NB, TAN and KDB, are analyzed and evaluated from the perspectives of the chain rule and information quantity implicated in the graphical structure. Scoring function Sum_M I is proposed to measure the size of information quantity implicated in the Bayesian classifier and defined as follows,

Restricted Bayesian Classifier Analysis
The Flexible K-Dependence Bayesian Classifier
Experimental Study
Contraceptive Method Choice
Contraceptive Method
Conclusions

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