Late Adiposity Rebound and the Probability of Developing and Reversing Childhood Obesity

Abstract

To evaluate the associations between late adiposity rebound (at or after 7.0years of age) and the probability of developing and reversing obesity during elementary school years. Using nationally representative cohorts from Early Childhood Longitudinal Studies, Kindergarten Class of 1998-1999 and 2010-2011, weighted extended Cox hazard models were used to assess the probability of developing and reversing obesity (cut-offs for extended models were 6 and 12months after kindergarten entry, respectively). Measurements used in the study were collected 6 times between kindergarten and fifth grade (Early Childhood Longitudinal Studies, Kindergarten Class of 1998-1999) and 8 times between kindergarten through fourth grade (Early Childhood Longitudinal Studies, Kindergarten Class of 2010-2011). Among children with obesity at kindergarten entry, within 6months, the risk of developing obesity was 73% and 76% lower for boys with late adiposity rebound than their classmates without late adiposity rebound (hazard ratio 0.27 and 0.24). Six months after entering kindergarten, similar association was observed for both boys and girls. Among children without obesity at kindergarten entry, within 12months, the probability of reversing obesity was 52% and 54% higher for boys with late adiposity rebound than their peers without late adiposity rebound (hazard ratio 1.52 and 1.54). Twelve months after entering kindergarten, the probability of reversing obesity among both sexes with late adiposity rebound was 6-8 times that among children without late adiposity rebound. Late adiposity rebound was significantly associated with a decreased risk of developing obesity and an increased probability of reversing obesity among kindergarteners.