Abstract

Certain unique features characterized the presidential campaign of I948 in New York City, examination of which may offer a contribution to an understanding of the unexpected Democratic victory in the national election of November 2. There appeared in New York City in 1948 a three-way split of parties, including, as usual, a predominantly Democratic vote offset by a substantial Republican minority, but with a new development in the background-the prospect of the largest bloc of Progressive votes in any one part of the country. The three-way division thus constituted affords an opportunity to follow each of the three parties through the campaign, setting off popular support of one against that of the others at several intervals, and facilitates the effort to trace and show up factors in the public opinion process which furnished the unexpectedly large Truman vote on election day.'

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