Abstract

The prediction of urban traffic congestion has emerged as one of the most pivotal research topics of intelligent transportation systems (ITSs). Currently, different neural networks have been put forward in the field of traffic congestion prediction and have been put to extensive use. Traditional neural network training takes a long time in addition to easily falling into the local optimal and overfitting. Accordingly, this inhibits the large-scale application of traffic prediction. On the basis of the theory of the extreme learning machine (ELM), the current paper puts forward a symmetric-ELM-cluster (S-ELM-Cluster) fast learning methodology. In this suggested methodology, the complex learning issue of large-scale data is transformed into different issues on small- and medium-scale data sets. Additionally, this methodology makes use of the extreme learning machine algorithm for the purpose of training the subprediction model on each different section of road, followed by establishing a congestion prediction model cluster for all the roads in the city. Together, this methodology fully exploits the benefits associated with the ELM algorithm in terms of accuracy over smaller subsets, high training speed, fewer parameters, and easy parallel acceleration for the realization of high-accuracy and high-efficiency large-scale traffic congestion data learning.

Highlights

  • Fast-paced global urbanization, coupled with the growing popularity of cars, has contributed to not just serious urban traffic congestion, and frequent accidents

  • Through long-term investigation and understanding of the characteristics of roads in Nanning, this paper proposes the traffic congestion evaluation index, which is in the range of [0,100]

  • The results indicate that the S-extreme learning machine (ELM)-Cluster is more accurate than Support Vector Machine (SVM)

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Summary

Introduction

Fast-paced global urbanization, coupled with the growing popularity of cars, has contributed to not just serious urban traffic congestion, and frequent accidents. Interest in investigating intelligent transportation, in particular in the field of transportation. With the comprehensive investigation of intelligent traffic systems, researchers have attached more significance to traffic forecasting. Traffic forecasting has emerged as one of the key research topics in traffic engineering. In the field of traffic flow forecasting, a number of forecasting models and methodologies have been put forward, which include the historical average method, linear regression method, time series method, Kalman-filter method, nonparametric model, and so on. Several tools and methods have been put forward for the improvement of the existing prediction models [1,2,3,4,5,6,7]

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