Abstract

Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the most aggressive and common primary central nervous system tumour. Despite extensive therapy, GBM patients usually have poor prognosis with a median survival of 12–15 months. Novel molecular biomarkers that can improve survival prediction and help with treatment strategies are still urgently required. Here we aimed to robustly identify a gene signature panel for improved survival prediction in primary GBM patients. We identified 2166 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) using meta-analysis of microarray datasets comprising of 955 samples (biggest primary GBM cohort for such studies as per our knowledge) and 3368 DEGs from RNA-seq dataset with 165 samples. Based on the 1443 common DEGs, using univariate Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with multivariate Cox regression, we identified a survival associated 4-gene signature panel including IGFBP2, PTPRN, STEAP2 and SLC39A10 and thereafter established a risk score model that performed well in survival prediction. High-risk group patients had significantly poorer survival as compared with those in the low-risk group (AUC = 0.766 for 1-year prediction). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that predictive value of the 4-gene signature panel was independent of other clinical and pathological features and hence is a potential prognostic biomarker. More importantly, we validated this signature in three independent GBM cohorts to test its generality. In conclusion, our integrated analysis using meta-analysis approach maximizes the use of the available gene expression data and robustly identified a 4-gene panel for predicting survival in primary GBM.

Highlights

  • There were about 330000 incident cases of central nervous system (CNS) cancers with a significant increase in age-standardized incidence rate (17.3%) between 1990 and 2016

  • differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were discovered from collected microarray datasets by using a novel meta-analysis approach we proposed previously [24], while DEGs from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) mRNA sequencing (RNA-seq) dataset were identified by RNA-seq analysis

  • Meta-analysis identified 2166 DEGs in Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) compared with normal brain tissues of which 707 were upregulated and 1459 downregulated

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Summary

Introduction

There were about 330000 incident cases of central nervous system (CNS) cancers with a significant increase in age-standardized incidence rate (17.3%) between 1990 and 2016. Mol Neurobiol (2020) 57:5235–5246 specific molecular signatures and pathways [10, 11]. Some of these molecular genetic alterations, for example, isocitrate dehydrogenase 1 and 2 (IDH1/2) mutation and O6methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation, have been recognized as more appropriate diagnostic and prognostic markers, respectively, in GBM than histological appearance alone [11, 12]. Nlm.nih.gov/geo/), ArrayExpress (https://www.ebi.ac.uk/ arrayexpress/), The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA, https:// portal.gdc.cancer.gov) and Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA, http://www.cgga.org.cn). These provide us the opportunity and resources to explore, integrate and reanalyse the already existing data for new biomarker discovery and validation. Multiple studies have focused on establishing solitary gene-GBM relationship without considering the potential advantage of gene combination which may have limited prognostic and predictive power [13, 14]

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