Large scale 2D hydraulic modelling: improving the analysis of flood dynamics with remote sensing and voluntary geographic information

Abstract

This work investigates the integration of hydro-geomorphic models, traditional data (static stage gages) and novel data sources, such as remotely sensed images and Crowdsourced data (Volunteering Geographic Information or VGI), for observation-driven improvements of hydro-modelling tools. The Tiber river basin, was selected as case study with a focus domain on the approximately 120 km channel upstream of Rome for its strategic importance in the protection of the historical city centre and the coastal urbanized zone. A parsimonious hydrological modelling algorithm was implemented, calibrated and validated for calculating the flow hydrographs of the ungauged small basins contributing to the study area. Furthermore, to delineate the boundaries computational domain of the hydraulic model for the Data Assimilation application, a DEM-based hydro-geomorphic floodplain delineation algorithm adapted from literature was tested with different DEMs and considering also its parametrization varying the stream orders. The adopted DA methodology is the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) that requires multiple simulations for representing the uncertainties related to the model and the observations errors. New approaches were proposed for integrating, as observations in the DA method, traditional static sensors, and simultaneously remotely sensed images and VGI data. Despite the static sensor have already been adopted in literature as observations in a DA framework, some new technical measures were necessary for integrating them in Quasi-2D hydraulic model. The assimilation of satellite images resulted to be effective, since the whole computational domain is interested by the water levels correction, although the improvement of the model performance persisted for only some hours of simulation. The usefulness of VGI have been investigated considering the uncertainties related to their reliability mostly in terms of accuracy and time allocation. Results show the potential of new data for improving the performance of the flood model, partially overcoming the limitations and the potential scarce availability of the traditional sensors. Finally, the simultaneous integration of all the three types of observations gave promising results, improving the performance of the model compared to the ones obtained assimilating only Satellite images or VGI observations.