Landslide Susceptibility mapping using random forest and extreme gradient boosting: A case study of Fengjie, Chongqing

Abstract

Landslide susceptibility analysis can provide theoretical support for landslide risk management. However, some susceptibility analyses are not sufficiently interpretable. Moreover, the accuracy of many research methods needs to be improved. Therefore, this study can supplement these deficiencies. This study aims to research the evaluation effects of random forest (RF) and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) classifier models on landslide susceptibility, and to compare their applicability in Fengjie County, Chongqing, a typical landslide‐prone area in southwest of China. Firstly, 1624 landslides information from 1980 to 2020 were obtained through field investigation, and a geospatial database of 16 conditional factors had been constructed. Secondly, non‐landslide points were selected to form a complete data set and RF and XGBoost models were established. Finally, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) value, accuracy, and F‐score were used to compare the two models. The results show that even though both classifiers have a highly accurate evaluation of landslide susceptibility, the RF model performs better. In comparison, the RF model has a higher AUC value of 0.866, and its accuracy and F‐score are approximately 2% higher than XGBoost. The land use, elevation, and lithology of Fengjie County contribute to the occurrence of landslides. This is due to human engineering activities (such as land reclamation, and housing construction) resulting in low slope stability and landslides in widely distributed sandstone, siltstone, and mudstone layers owing to their low permeability and planes of weakness.