Abstract

Landslides are geomorphological phenomena that affect anthropogenic and natural features on the Earth’s surface. Many previous studies have identified several factors that have contributed to landslides. Among these factors are physical characteristics, such as slope, aspect, and land cover, of Earth’s surface. Moreover, landslides can be triggered by human activities such as underground mining. This study aims to identify landslide susceptibility areas by analyzing landslide-related factors, including land subsidence triggered by underground mining. The area of interest was Kozlu, Turkey, where underground mining has been in progress for the past 100 years. Thus, to identify landslide risk zones, the multicriteria decision analysis method, together with the analytical hierarchy method, was used. The datasets included were topography, land cover, geological settings, and mining-induced land subsidence. The spatial extent of land subsidence was estimated using a previously published model. A landslide susceptibility map (LSM) was developed using a purposely developed GIS-based software. The results were compared with a terrain deformation map, which was developed in a separate study using the differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry (DInSAR) technique. The results showed a substantial correlation between the LSM and DInSAR map. Furthermore, it was found that ~ 88% of the very high and high landslide risk areas coincided with location of the past landslide events. These facts suggest that the algorithm and data sources used were sufficient to produce a sufficiently accurate LSM, which may be used for various purposes such as urban planning.

Highlights

  • Underground mining disturbs the Earth’s natural balance and generally causes terrain subsidence

  • The results showed a substantial correlation between the landslide susceptibility map (LSM) and differential synthetic aperture radar interferometry (DInSAR) map

  • To estimate the extent of land subsidence for each production panel, we used the land subsidence model outlined in BLand subsidence estimation.^ The calculation and plotting were performed using a script written in Python, embedded in the ArcGIS (ESRI, Redlands, CA) package

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Summary

Introduction

Underground mining disturbs the Earth’s natural balance and generally causes terrain subsidence. Such subsidence is common in Kozlu, a hard coal basin in Zonguldak, Turkey (Akcin 1995). In this region, underground coal extraction has been performed for > 150 years. Almost every year, landslide-related incidents have led to property damage and even loss of life (Akcin 1995). This adverse situation triggered a range of mitigation measures by local authorities such as landslide susceptibility studies (Gokceoglu and Aksoy 1996; Karakaya 2003; Suzen and Doyuran 2004; Ercanoglu et al 2004; Corekcioglu 2004; Yesilnacar and Topal 2005)

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