Landslide spatial susceptibility mapping by using GIS and remote sensing techniques: a case study in Zigui County, the Three Georges reservoir, China

Abstract

Landslides are one of the most destructive phenomena in nature and damage both property and lives every year. In this paper, a logistic regression model with datasets developed via a geographic information system and remotely sensed data was used to create a landslide spatial susceptibility map for the Three Gorges Project reservoir region on the Yangtze River in Zigui County. The five causative factors used in the logistic regression model were evaluated in different ways: topographic slope and topographic aspect were derived from a topographical map at 1:50,000 scale; bed rock-slope relationship and lithology were obtained from a geological map at 1:50,000 scale; and fractional vegetation cover (FVC), which represents the reduced frequency of landslides due to the vegetation canopy and ground cover and is also one of the most difficult parameters to estimate over broad geographic areas, was generated using a back propagation neural network (BPNN) method based on CBERS (China–Brazil Earth Resources Satellite) data, the results of which were compared with values measured in the field. The obtained Pearson correlation coefficient (r) was 0.899. Then, the FVC factor and the other four factors were used as the input to a logistic regression model. By integrating the five factor maps in the geographical information system (GIS) via pixel-based computing, the landslide spatial susceptibility map was obtained. The study area was reclassified into four categories of landslide susceptibility: severe, moderate, low, and very low. Approximately 15.0 % of the study area was identified as severe susceptibility, and very low, low, and moderate susceptibility zones covered 21.8, 41.7, and 21.5 % of the area, respectively. These results have an accuracy of 78.90 %. Thus, by using a logistic regression model in a GIS environment, a spatial susceptibility map of landslides can be obtained, and the regions in Zigui County that are susceptible to landslides and need immediate protective and mitigation measures can be identified.