Landscape‐scale distribution of nest predators and its relationship with regent honeyeater nest success

Abstract

AbstractOvercoming low breeding success is a major challenge for reversing population decline in threatened species. High nest predation rates are a common cause of low productivity in birds, but implementing evidence‐based management actions to reduce nest predation is challenging. Targeted breeding management requires a good understanding of where threatened species breed, the identity and distribution of nest predator species and the impact of these nest predators on breeding success. For rare and nomadic species, this information is hard to come by. The breeding success of regent honeyeater Anthochaera phrygia has declined over recent decades, and nest predation is the primary cause of breeding failure. We conducted point‐count surveys of nine avian and three mammalian nest predator species across 80% of the regent honeyeater’s contemporary breeding area in south eastern Australia. We used occupancy models to determine the presence of predator species at survey sites and spatial models to predict predator abundance and species richness across the breeding area. We incorporated predator predictions for regent honeyeater nest locations into nest fate and daily nest survival models. Predator abundance was correlated positively with tree hollow abundance and proximity to water and negatively with shrub cover. Regent honeyeater nest success showed no significant relationship with predator abundance or predator species richness. Given how abundant and widespread avian and mammalian nest predators were throughout the breeding area, improving regent honeyeater nest success is likely to require implementation of simultaneous nest protection measures to avoid potential compensatory nest predation. Further research is required to better understand the relationship between nest predator abundance and regent honeyeater nest success.