Abstract

Monitoring the change in land cover in disaster-affected areas, such as forests, has become a conventional forest management practice, particularly in protected areas. Most change detection and fragmentation studies rely on single-dated satellite images even while investigating changes over a long temporal span. This study aims to move a step further to compare fragmentation before and after a derecho event that occurred in August 2017 using 23 Landsat-8 images of Brusy Commune within the Tuchola Forest Biosphere Reserve. The supervised classification was carried out in the Google Earth Engine using the machine learning algorithm of random forests within the summer months of 2017 and 2018. The high overall accuracy of 0.92 was obtained for the two images which were then analysed with landscape metrics such as mean patch size, number of patches, total edge and edge density using Patch Analyst. These landscape metrics facilitated the characterisation of landscape fragmentation at both the class and landscape levels. Shannon’s Diversity Index was employed to assess heterogeneity across the landscape. The findings indicate significant fragmentation, particularly in the forest and pasture classes, with overall low diversity. This study underscores the potential for future research to employ advanced machine learning techniques and non-parametric classifiers, such as neural networks, to enhance the prediction of fragmentation across various spatial scales.

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