Abstract
Land development analyses play a fundamental role in understanding how land use change shapes the land, depending on continuously changing social, economic, and environmental factors that reflect the interests in space. It is especially important to follow land use changes in rural areas due to their role in food security, environmental hazards, cultural landscape preservation, etc. Continuous analyses and monitoring of land use changes allow for the identification and prevention of negative trends in land use (over intensification, land fragmentation, etc.) that might affect biodiversity, change physical and chemical properties of soil, causing soil degradation, change the spatial balance, stability and natural equilibrium in the rural area. The use of the cross-tabulation matrix methodology was suggested for land use change analyses. The methodology, when the cross-tabulation matrix elements are correctly interpreted, allows us to gain as much insight as possible in the process of land use change. This approach enabled a detailed analysis of vineyards in Goriška brda, Slovenia. It was found that the existing methodology fails to analyse the location of change. For this reason, additional analyses of spatial distribution of change and of the locations where changes in space occur were suggested. The study demonstrated that the land use category of vineyards changes systematically, although seemingly randomly. By comparing land use categories over several time periods, the study determined that the size and speed of change varied across different time intervals. The identified land use changes were assessed in the context of their high pressure on agricultural land. The results of the analyses showed different trends shaping the typical agrarian landscape in Goriška brda.
Highlights
The changes in the production system, based on coexistence and complementarity of agrarian and non-agrarian functions, have transformed the transitional patterns of the built environment (Amato et al, 2017; Antrop, 1993)
The results of the analyses showed different trends shaping the typical agrarian landscape in Goriška brda
The results of the analyses showed that when the category Field or Garden loses, Vineyard tends to replace it
Summary
The changes in the production system, based on coexistence and complementarity of agrarian and non-agrarian functions, have transformed the transitional patterns of the built environment (Amato et al, 2017; Antrop, 1993). Whether a farmer or not, is increasingly more attentive to the environment and its exploitation for improving our culture of living, which is directly or indirectly connected with everything that affects humankind, its development, changing, and adapting to the current transformation processes in cultural, natural, and agricultural landscapes (Fikfak, 2008; Marques et al, 2015; Sastre et al, 2016). We witness various processes, such as rural depopulation and population aging, demography changes, functional transformation (the city = a consumption area), which have been, over the last 20 years, paired with problems of discontinuation and abandonment of agriculture due to the lack of production competitiveness in the regions defined as areas with restricted factors for agriculture (Fikfak et al, 2015).
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