Abstract

Land-use conflict (LUC) is a major problem of land management in the context of rapid urbanization. Conflict identification plays an important role in the development and protection of land space. Considering the possibility of, exposure to, and negative impacts of LUC, we explore the probability of land-use cover change (LUCC), policy constraints, and ecosystem service value (ESV) and build a conflict identification model based on the LEC concept of risk assessment. Taking Daye City as an example, we classify the conflict intensity and delimit the key conflict areas. At the same time, a composite classification system is constructed to analyze the spatial characteristics and internal mechanism of conflict. We find that the conflict between construction and ecological space is the main conflict in Daye City (P.R. China), which is widely distributed. However, the conflict between construction and agricultural space, which is mainly distributed near the center of Daye City, cannot be ignored.

Highlights

  • The highly and moderately restricted plots of land-use cover change (LUCC) account for 2.86% and 20.83% of the total area of Daye City, respectively

  • The development of the social economy has led to increasing demands for land resources

  • Taking Daye City as an example, we determined that cultivated land, forest land, and water area are threatened by Land-use conflict (LUC)

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Summary

Introduction

Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Carr and Zwick [38] proposed using LUCIS model to characterize conflicts in terms of suitability differences between different land-use types This model makes up for the shortcomings of the multi-criteria analysis method to a certain extent but still has shortcomings. In order to establish an analysis and control system of hazard sources, they focus on safe working environment and safe operation process, and put three factors into the risk analysis: the likelihood that some hazardous event will occur, the exposure to that particular hazardous situation and the possible consequences should the hazardous event occur This method has been widely used in the field of production safety since it was introduced into China by some scholars [42]. The introduction of the revised land ecosystem service value [45] as a possible consequence of LUC reflects the dynamic characteristics of conflicts and enriches the perspective of conflict identification

Overview of the Study Area and Data Sources
LEC-Based LUC Identification Model
Model Parameter Determination
LEC Quantitative Results and Analysis
Potential LUC
Findings
Discussion
Conclusions
Full Text
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