LAND SUBSIDENCE PREDICTION THROUGH MODELING OF TEMPORAL ATTRIBUTE PREDICTION OF KNOWLEDGE GRAPH

Abstract

Abstract. Land subsidence is a geological disaster. It will lead to the decline of land elevation, resulting in the potential safety hazards of urban facilities. Thus, the prediction of land subsidence displacement is significant. Among the existing prediction methods, the methods based on the time-series prediction model only analyze the settlement series data without considering the settlement mechanism, so they are easy to apply. However, they less consider the influence of other factors on land subsidence. Besides, they independently input displacement time-series data from different monitoring points without considering their relationship. To solve these problems, we take the monitoring point as the entity and take the DEM, soil type, building height, and land subsidence displacement sequence at the corresponding position of the monitoring point as the attributes to construct the knowledge graph. And then, we propose a framework Graph-TAP for modeling temporal attribute prediction of the knowledge graph’s entity. This framework learns the representation of events with the specific entity at first. Then it captures the temporal dependency between historical events using GRU. Finally, it predicts the entity’s displacement attribute. We randomly selected 61 subsidence monitoring points in Shenzhen, China. We used the land subsidence displacement InSAR time-series data (12-day time interval) and other attribute data from June 22, 2015, to April 5, 2016, for model training, validation, and testing. The experimental results show that our method is better than the time-series prediction based on the LSTM model and the DARNET (a knowledge graph temporal attribute prediction framework).