Abstract

Abstract. Due to different orbital configurations, high northern latitude summer insolation was higher during the Last Interglacial period (LIG; 129–116 thousand years before present, ka) than during the pre-industrial period (PI), while high southern latitude summer insolation was lower. The climatic response to these changes is studied here with focus on the Southern Hemisphere monsoons, by performing an equilibrium experiment of the LIG at 127 ka with the Australian Earth System Model, ACCESS-ESM1.5, as part of the Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project 4 (PMIP4). Simulated mean surface air temperature between 40 and 60∘ N over land during boreal summer is 6.5 ∘C higher at the LIG compared to PI, which leads to a northward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and a strengthening of the North African and Indian monsoons. Despite 0.4 ∘C cooler conditions in austral summer in the Southern Hemisphere (0–90∘ S), annual mean air temperatures are 1.2 ∘C higher at southern mid-latitudes to high latitudes (40–80∘ S). These differences in temperature are coincident with a large-scale reorganisation of the atmospheric circulation. The ITCZ shifts southward in the Atlantic and Indian sectors during the LIG austral summer compared to PI, leading to increased precipitation over the southern tropical oceans. However, weaker Southern Hemisphere insolation during LIG austral summer induces a significant cooling over land, which in turn weakens the land–sea temperature contrast, leading to an overall reduction (−20 %) in monsoonal precipitation over the Southern Hemisphere's continental regions compared to PI. The intensity and areal extent of the Australian, South American and South African monsoons are consistently reduced in LIG. This is associated with greater pressure and subsidence over land due to a strengthening of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley cell during austral summer.

Highlights

  • Antarctic ice cores suggest that the Last Interglacial period (LIG; ∼ 129–116 thousand years before present, ka), known as Marine Isotope Stage 5e or the Eemian, was most likely the warmest interglacial of the last 800 ka (Masson-Delmotte et al, 2013)

  • As the maximum insolation anomalies between the LIG and PI values occur in June (+70 W m−2 at 80◦ N) and December (−45 W m−2 at 40◦ S) (Fig. 1), we here focus on climatic changes occurring in JJA and DJF

  • Due to the large insolation anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during boreal summer (Fig. 1), simulated mean JJA surface air temperatures are 2.3 ◦C higher in the NH at the LIG compared to PI values (Fig. 2b), in agreement with terrestrial proxy reconstructions from the region (Axford et al, 2011; Francis et al, 2006; Fréchette et al, 2006; McFarlin et al, 2018; Melles et al, 2012; Plikk et al, 2019; Salonen et al, 2018)

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Summary

Introduction

Antarctic ice cores suggest that the Last Interglacial period (LIG; ∼ 129–116 thousand years before present, ka), known as Marine Isotope Stage 5e or the Eemian, was most likely the warmest interglacial of the last 800 ka (Masson-Delmotte et al, 2013). Compared to PI, strong warming is shown over Northern Hemisphere (NH) continents during June, July and August (JJA), while a cooling is simulated in December, January and February (DJF), due to the seasonal character of insolation anomalies (Otto-Bliesner et al, 2021) This leads to a substantial reduction in the boreal summer Arctic sea-ice extent, while there is little change in maximum sea-ice area during winter (Kageyama et al, 2021). In this study we present the large-scale climatic features of the LIG equilibrium experiment (lig127k) as simulated by the ACCESS-ESM1.5 model, compared to the pre-industrial experiment (Ziehn et al, 2020), and to available paleoproxy records. We explore the changes in austral summer precipitation in the SH

Model description and experimental design
Experimental design
Changes in surface temperature and sea ice
Precipitation change
ITCZ changes
Precipitation changes in monsoon regions
Discussion
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