Abstract
The impact of climate change on forest ecosystems is becoming increasingly apparent. Research indicates that rising air temperatures affect the state of biodiversity, a range of ecological processes, as well as the dynamics of developmental characteristics of individual trees (Ratknić T. et al., 2019a; Dimitrijević T. et al., 2022; Dimitrijević T. et al., 2023). This study investigates how climate affects the size of earlywood, latewood, and the total current increment of Pinus strobus trees in Belgrade. Data related to site changes are compared to site characteristics in its natural sites in North America. The climate model REG_IN indicates that newly emerging site conditions will hinder the establishment of new pine plantations in the urban forests of Belgrade. According to the aridity index (FAI) for the period 2081-2100, the FAI is estimated to reach 7.4, indicating a forest-steppe climate. All the analyses suggest that the emerging conditions will prevent the introduction of Pinus strobus into the urban forests of Belgrade.
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