Abstract
Background: This paper aims to evaluate the concordance between the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formula and alternative equations and to assess their predictive power for all-cause mortality in unselected patients discharged alive from a cardiology ward. Methods: We retrospectively included patients admitted to our Cardiology Division independently of their diagnosis. The total population was classified according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) categories, as follows: G1 (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2); G2 (eGFR 89–60 mL/min/1.73 m2); G3a (eGFR 59–45 mL/min/1.73 m2); G3b (eGFR 44–30 mL/min/1.73 m2); G4 (eGFR 29–15 mL/min/1.73 m2); G5 (eGFR <15 mL/min/1.73 m2). Cockcroft-Gault (CG), CG adjusted for body surface area (CG-BSA), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD), Berlin Initiative Study (BIS-1), and Full Age Spectrum (FAS) equations were also assessed. Results: A total of 806 patients were included. Good agreement was found between the CKD-EPI formula and CG-BSA, MDRD, BIS-1, and FAS equations. In subjects younger than 65 years or aged ≥85 years, CKD-EPI and MDRD showed the highest agreement (Cohen’s kappa (K) 0.881 and 0.588, respectively) while CG showed the lowest. After a median follow-up of 407 days, overall mortality was 8.2%. The risk of death was higher in lower eGFR classes (G3b HR4.35; 95%CI 1.05–17.80; G4 HR7.13; 95%CI 1.63–31.23; G5 HR25.91; 95%CI 6.63–101.21). The discriminant capability of death prediction tested with ROC curves showed the best results for BIS-1 and FAS equations. Conclusion: In our cohort, the concordance between CKD-EPI and other equations decreased with age, with the MDRD formula showing the best agreement in both younger and older patients. Overall, mortality rates increased with the renal function decreasing. In patients aged ≥75 years, the best discriminant capability for death prediction was found for BIS-1 and FAS equations.
Highlights
Introduction distributed under the terms andChronic kidney disease (CKD) is defined as kidney damage lasting for at least 3 months, with or without a decrease in Glomerular Filtration Rate (GFR), and assessed by circulating markers of kidney damage or renal biopsy, or as a reduction in GFR
Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Categories According to CKD-EPI estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)
According to area under the curves (AUCs) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the best discriminant capability for death prediction was found for BIS-1 (AUC = 0.782; 95% CI 0.752–0.810) followed by Full Age Spectrum (FAS)
Summary
Introduction distributed under the terms andChronic kidney disease (CKD) is defined as kidney damage lasting for at least 3 months, with or without a decrease in Glomerular Filtration Rate (GFR), and assessed by circulating markers of kidney damage or renal biopsy, or as a reduction in GFR
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