Abstract

AbstractThe main characteristics of intra-EU labour mobility are well documented. There is less focus, however, on the pattern of mobility of the East European (EU-13) EU-mobile citizens. This group constitutes more than half (57%) of all the EU movers and show, to some extent, other features than the rest of the EU mobile citizens (EU-15). The first part of this paper gives a brief overview of some key demographic and labour market characteristics of the East European mobile citizens in the most important destination countries. The perspectives of the sending countries are not analysed frequently enough, and thus the second part of the paper focuses on this issue in the case of Hungary, by asking to what extent the serious labour shortages, ensuing from the outflow of Hungarians, could be compensated by the recent increase of immigration of third country nationals. Using OECD data, the paper quantifies the balance of labour gains and losses for Hungary and compares this with Czechia, Poland, and Slovakia. The analysis concludes that despite the substantial recent inflow of third country nationals into Hungary, it remains to be seen whether this has a real substitution effect for the lost domestic labour force.

Highlights

  • Even if the recent debates both at the EU and member state level were dominated by the consequences of the large refugee inflow of 2015, the extent, pattern and the impact of intra-EU mobility is still high on the agenda

  • After providing some details of the general labour market features of intra-EU mobility focussing on the EU-13 workers, the second part of this paper analyses some impacts of mobility on the labour market of a sending country, Hungary

  • The research was conducted by Eurofound, an agency of the European Union which specialised in labour market and social policy issues

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

Even if the recent debates both at the EU and member state level were dominated by the consequences of the large refugee inflow of 2015, the extent, pattern and the impact of intra-EU mobility is still high on the agenda. After providing some details of the general labour market features of intra-EU mobility focussing on the EU-13 workers, the second part of this paper analyses some impacts of mobility on the labour market of a sending country, Hungary. It explores the balance of losses and gains deriving from mobility and a recent increase of immigration of third country nationals, respectively. With regard to the methodology applied in the paper, the first part synthetizes the results of EU-level data, and it is based on mainly qualitative research conducted by Eurofound on some key features of intra-EU mobility in nine important destination countries.

PREVIOUS RESEARCH AND THEORETICAL BACKGROUND
Demographic characteristics
LABOUR LOSSES AND GAINS IN HUNGARY
The economy and the labour market of Hungary in the 2010s
Quantification of losses and gains
Comparison with the other V4 countries
Findings
CONCLUSIONS
Full Text
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