Abstract

AbstractIn this study we analysed the patterns and covariates of public support for the European integration of core state powers based on an original new survey. We found considerable variation across integration instruments, member states and policy issues. Horizontal transfers are supported more than vertical capacity building; member states from the EU's South‐East are more supportive than states from the North‐West; and support increases from debt relief to unemployment assistance, sharing the burdens of refugees, and military defence to disaster aid. Identity is a strong and fairly consistent predictor for individual variations in support. The association with respondents’ interest is less consistent, but can be quite strong with respect to specific policy issues such as debt and unemployment. Overall, support for the integration of core state powers is higher and more variable than expected. This suggests there is considerable room for political agency rather than a general constraining dissensus.

Highlights

  • In this study we analysed the patterns and covariates of public support for the European integration of core state powers based on an original new survey

  • We found that identity is a stronger predictor than interest for individual variations, but not for variations at

  • The integration of core state powers (CSPs) may be a source of material gain. For instance, that their home state will mostly be at the receiving end of horizontal transfers or that vertical capacity building will unleash economies of scale with benefits for all member states. These arguments lead to the following expectation: Interest conjecture: Individuals will oppose the integration of CSPs if, and to the extent that, they expect a net material loss for their own state; they will support integration if, and to the extent that, they expect a net material gain

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Summary

A Post-functional Predicament?

The recent crises of the EU have fuelled a functional demand for the integration of core state powers (CSPs) (Genschel and Jachtenfuchs, 2018). We need to know what voters think This information is hard to get from existing surveys such as the Eurobarometer or the European election study because they do not contain specific questions on attitudes to the integration of CPSs. In this article we present new survey evidence that helps fill this gap. In this article we present new survey evidence that helps fill this gap It is based on a 2018 YouGov poll that asks whether respondents support or oppose ceding national fiscal, coercive, or administrative resources to other member states or to EU institutions. This survey offers a better measure of our dependent variable (voter attitudes to the integration of CSPs) than alternative sources discussed below.

Why Should Voters Care?
Data and Empirical Approach
Patterns of Support
Correlates of Support
Findings
Juncker Relax!
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