Joint modeling approaches for censored predictors due to detection limits with applications to metabolites data.

Abstract

Measures of substance concentration in urine, serum or other biological matrices often have an assay limit of detection. When concentration levels fall below the limit, exact measures cannot be obtained, and thus are left censored. The problem becomes more challenging when the censored data come from heterogeneous populations consisting of exposed and non-exposed subjects. If the censored data come from non-exposed subjects, their measures are always zero and hence censored, forming a latent class governed by a distinct censoring mechanism compared with the exposed subjects. The exposed group's censored measurements are always greater than zero, but less than the detection limit. It is very often that the exposed and non-exposed subjects may have different disease traits or different relationships with outcomes of interest, so we need to disentangle the two different populations for valid inference. In this article, we aim to fill the methodological gaps in the literature by developing a novel joint modeling approach to not only address the censoring issue in predictors, but also untangle different relationships of exposed and non-exposed subjects with the outcome. Simulation studies are performed to assess the numerical performance of our proposed approach when the sample size is small to moderate. The joint modeling approach is also applied to examine associations between plasma metabolites and blood pressure in Bogalusa Heart Study, and identify new metabolites that are highly associated with blood pressure.