Jaya-ICSM: A rapid inverse method driven by monitoring data for concrete-faced rockfill dams static displacement simulation

Abstract

This paper presents a rapid static parameter inverse method for concrete-faced rockfill dams based on displacement data using an improved cloud surrogate model and the Jaya optimization algorithm. The improved cloud surrogate model (ICSM), which evolved from the uncertainty cloud theory, is used rapidly to establish a nonlinear relationship between static parameters and displacement. The Jaya optimization algorithm, which is proficient in recognizing the extreme value of the objective function, is selected for parameter identification. To verify the performance of the proposed method, an inverse analysis of two numerical models and a real engineering project is considered, and a comparative study with the BP neural network as the surrogate model is conducted. Study results demonstrate that ICSM has an extremely high prediction accuracy, with a mean relative error that is always under 1 %. The prediction accuracy does not increase too much even under complex nonlinear conditions or when dealing with sparse training data. Moreover, Jaya-ICSM maintains high computational efficiency throughout the entire inverse analysis, saving more than 98 % of the time compared to another inverse method and proving to be much better than direct inversion based on the finite element method. This enables real-time inverse analysis and state feedback of complex engineering. The results also illustrate that the Jaya-ICSM is promising in parameter recognition and superior in supporting the displacement evaluation of earth-rock dams. Therefore, the proposed method can be an effective tool for engineers to evaluate the safety of earth-rockfill dams and ensure their long-term stability.