Abstract
Subject The risk of ISG-linked activity in Pakistan. Significance There is little evidence to date of any Islamic State group (ISG) leader travelling to Pakistan from their group's Middle Eastern heartland. However, an estimated 500 Pakistanis have travelled to Iraq and Syria to fight alongside ISG. Some of these combatants have returned to Pakistan. Within Pakistan, insurgents linked to various splinter militants groups, including al-Qaida, Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LeJ) have sworn their allegiance to ISG. Impacts Afghanistan-Pakistan security cooperation would help curb ISG, but the two sides remain divided over other key differences. Pakistan-linked militants in Kashmir are aligned with the interests of the Pakistani military, containing the ISG threat to India. Regions most at risk of ISG expansion are Pakistan's tribal areas and provinces along the Af-Pak border.
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