Abstract

Finance academics define risk as volatility, whereas value investors define risk as the probability that adverse outcomes in the future will permanently impair the cash flow potential of a business leading to permanent (long run) impairment of capital. Which is the right definition? It all depends on your investment horizon. But if maximizing terminal wealth is of importance to investors, and it is difficult to argue otherwise, then the latter is the right way to look at risk. In this sense, academia may be bad for an investor’s wealth and prosperity.

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