Is the SIRS Criteria a Good Predictor of Blood stream Infection in Cirrhosis? A Single-Center Retrospective Analysis

Abstract

IntroductionCirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID) is a chronic vasodilatory state with hyperdynamic circulation and alterations in thermoregulation that may make patients more susceptible to and mask underlying infection. This study aims to determine whether SIRS criteria are an accurate tool for predicting bloodstream infection (BSI) in cirrhosis. MethodsIn our retrospective chart review, study population included patients with cirrhosis that were 18 years or older. For all study patients, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores and values for each SIRS variable at the time of admission and blood culture data were recorded. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify any associations between dichotomized SIRS variables that fulfill SIRS positivity and BSI. ResultsSignificantly more patients without BSI met positivity criteria for WBC counts (30% vs 13% p < .001). In the analysis of the SIRS variables as continuous variables in prediction of BSI, the AUC curves generated were all unsatisfactory with the temperature (36-38°C) and WBC count (4 × 103 to 12 × 103 mcL) at the time of admission having the highest areas under the ROC curve (0.52 and 0.55, respectively). Looking at the SIRS variables dichotomized (according to whether fulfilling SIRS criteria or not) in univariable logistic regression, only WBC counts meeting SIRS criteria were significantly associated with BSI OR 0.37 (0.18-0.77); p = .008, but this was an inverse association. This association was true even in the multivariable model OR 0.38 (0.18-0.80); p = .01. ConclusionOur study shows that SIRS criteria are a poor predictor of BSI among patients with cirrhosis.