Is the existing methods sustainable? A hybrid approach to flood risk mapping

Abstract

The hydraulic and integrated modeling approaches appear to stand out in the sequence of flood risk models that have been presented because of their predictive accuracy. The former has a high probability of under predicting and the latter has a high tendency to over-predict. This study proposed a methodological approach that combines the hydraulic and integrated models using analytical hierarchical raster fusion techniques to strengthen the weaknesses of the individual models. This study seeks to undertake a flood inundation model, a runoff model, and raster fusion models using GIS and HEC-RAS rain-on-grid methods to map flood risk in the Ona river basin of Ibadan city.•A hydraulic model was used to identify flood depth and inundation areas along a major stream channel, which was then extracted, rasterized, resampled, and reclassified to a spatial resolution of 5 m.•Several raster datasets (indicators) were created from land use, elevation, soil, and geological data layers using advanced GIS techniques.•AHP assisted raster data fusion model was used to combine all of the raster indicators into a single consolidated hybrid flood raster layer that revealed flood risk areas by magnitude.