Is the Evergrande crisis spilling beyond China?

Abstract

This study investigates whether Evergrande transmits shocks to regional and global equity markets using the vector autoregressive (VAR), asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ADCC), and exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) models. The results show that Evergrande has caused notable and enduring shocks to both domestic and foreign equities markets. The spillover test further supports the idea that the Evergrande crisis has spread to important markets. The findings have practical implications for regulators, sovereign wealth managers, institutional and retail investors, and policymakers trying to come up with ways to deal with external shocks.