Abstract

Data from Northeast Scotland for 11,803 cancer patients (diagnosed 2007-13) were linked to UK Censuses to explore relationships between hospital travel-time, timely-treatment and one-year-mortality, adjusting for both area and individual-level socioeconomic status (SES). Adjusting for area-based SES, those living >60 minutes from hospital received timely-treatment more often than those living <15 minutes. Substituting individual-level SES changed little. Adjusting for area-based SES those living >60 minutes from hospital died within one year more often than those living <15 minutes. Again, substituting individual-level SES changed little. In Northeast Scotland distance to services, rather than individual SES, likely explains poorer rural cancer survival.Background and objectiveThe Northeast and Aberdeen Scottish Cancer and Residence (NASCAR) study found rural-dwellers are treated quicker but more likely to die within a year of a cancer diagnosis. A potential confounder of the relationship between geography and cancer mortality is socioeconomic status (SES). We linked the original NASCAR cohort to the UK Censuses of 2001 and 2011, at an individual level, to explore the relationship between travel time to key healthcare facilities, timely cancer treatment and one-year mortality adjusting for both area and individual-level markers of socioeconomic status.MethodsA data linkage study of 11803 patients examined the association between travel times, timely treatment and one-year mortality with adjustment for area, and for individual-level, markers of socioeconomic status.ResultsFollowing adjustment for area-based SES measures those living more than 60 minutes from the cancer treatment centre were significantly more likely to be treated within 62 days of GP referral than those living within 15 minutes (Odds Ratio [OR]) 1.41; 95% (Confidence Interval [CI]) 1.23, 1.60]. Replacing area-based with individual-level SES measures from UK Censuses made little impact on the results [OR 1.39; 95% CI 1.22, 1.57].Following adjustment for area-based SES measures of socioeconomic status those living more than 60 minutes from the cancer treatment centre were significantly more likely to die within one year than those living closer by [OR 1.22; 95% CI 1.08, 1.38]. Again, replacing area-based with individual-level SES measures from UK Censuses made little impact on the result [OR 1.20; CI 1.06, 1.35].ConclusionsDistribution of individual measures of socioeconomic status did not differ significantly between rural and urban cancer patients. The relationship between distance to service, timely treatment and one-year survival were the same adjusting for both area-based and individual SES. Overall, it seems that distance to services, rather than personal characteristics, influences poorer rural cancer survival.

Highlights

  • Rurality is associated with poorer cancer outcomes but the reasons why are obscure [1]

  • The Northeast andAberdeen Scottish Cancer and Residence (NASCAR) findings were unexpected – mainland patients with greater than 60 minutes travelling time from their nearest cancer centre [odds ratio (OR) 1.42; 95%Confidence Interval (CI) 1.25–1.61] and those living on an island [OR 1.32; 95%CI 1.09–1.59] were more likely to commence cancer treatment within Scottish Government target times of 62 days from general practitioner (GP) referral and within 31 days of their cancer diagnosis date [11]

  • Our analyses investigated the relationship between rurality, distance and travelling times to key healthcare facilities (GP practice, hospitals of diagnosis and treatment) and outcomes and one year mortality

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Summary

Introduction

Rurality is associated with poorer cancer outcomes but the reasons why are obscure [1]. In contrast datazone S01006979 Ythsie (part) comprises several square miles of rural Aberdeenshire and is assigned SIMD quintile 5 In this datazone of a population of 888 individuals, 7.8% (n=70) are recorded as income or employment deprived [4]. Using an area-based measure of socioeconomic circumstance in studies of cancer outcomes in individuals might mean that the statistical analyses do not adequately adjust for potential confounding by the socioeconomic characteristics which could be influential on individuals’ cancer journeys. The effect of this could be to falsely inflate the importance of physical geography in determining a rural disadvantage in cancer outcomes. We linked the original NASCAR cohort to the UK Censuses of 2001 and 2011, at an individual level, to explore the relationship between travel time to key healthcare facilities, timely cancer treatment and one-year mortality adjusting for both area and individual-level markers of socioeconomic status

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