Irregular Eccentric Wellbore Cementing: An Equivalent Circulation Density Calculation and Influencing Factors Analysis

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In the field of cement, if the formation cannot be given sufficient pressure to maintain stability during construction, pressure control failure may occur, leading to the leakage of liquids and gasses from the formation to the wellbore. In addition, irregular wellbore diameter and casing eccentricity are important factors that are easily overlooked and affect the prediction of ECD (Equivalent Circulation Density) calculation. This results in major accidents and ecological disasters, further impacting the global environment. This study focuses on a well in the eastern oilfields of China, and based on a rheological experiment of high temperature and high pressure, an irregular eccentric wellbore model is established according to the measured wellbore diameter and eccentricity data to calculate the ECD of the whole cementing process. Then, a data set is constructed and analyzed using the random forest method to quantitatively evaluate influencing factors such as displacement, rheology, density, and eccentricity on the bottomhole and wellbore ECD. Results find that the density of cement slurry and drilling fluid has the most significant impact on the maximum ECD, with the impact reaching 0.3142 and 0.2902, respectively, and the main factors that affect the minimum ECD are the density and rheological changes in the drilling fluid, reaching 0.7014 and 0.2846. These research findings will contribute to the precise control of wellbore pressure during cementing operations, further ensuring the safety of cementing operations, and laying a technical foundation for the automation and intelligentization of subsequent cementing operations.