Iron Ore Price Prediction Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model

Abstract

The fluctuation of iron ore prices is one of the most important factors affecting policy. Therefore, the accurate prediction of iron ore prices has significant value in analysis and judgment regarding future changes in policies. In this study, we propose a correlation analysis to extract eight influencing factors of iron ore prices and introduce multiple linear regression analysis to the prediction. With historical data, we establish a model to forecast iron ore prices from 2020 to 2024. Taking prices in 2018 and 2019 as samples to test the applicability of the model, we obtain an acceptable level of error between the predicted iron ore prices and the actual prices. The prediction model based on multiple linear regression has high prediction accuracy. Iron ore prices will show a relatively stable upward trend over the next five years without the effects of COVID-19.