IP10 and Anti-HBc can Predict Virological Relapse and HBsAg Loss in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients after Nucleos(t)ide Analog Discontinuation

Abstract

Introduction: To assess predictive ability of serum interferon-inducible protein 10 (IP10) and hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) levels for virological relapse (VR) and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss after nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) discontinuation. Methods: In this multicenter prospective study, overall 139 patients were followed up for 24 months after NA discontinuation. Results: End of treatment (EOT) IP10 and anti-HBc were 29.2 (5.1–66.4) pg/mL and 193.6 (136.9–221.4) IU/mL. EOT IP10 and anti-HBc were independent predictors for VR and HBsAg loss in Cox regression analysis. Cumulative rates of VR in patients with EOT IP10 > 26.99 pg/mL was 31.9% (vs. 70.1%, hazard ratio [HR] 2.998, p < 0.001). Cumulative incidences of VR in patients with EOT anti-HBc ≤141.35 IU/mL was 49.1% (vs. 60.6%, HR 2.99, p < 0.001). Cumulative probabilities of VR was 16.7% in patients with EOT IP10 > 26.99 pg/mL plus anti-HBc ≤141.35 IU/mL (vs. 73.6%, HR 6.464, p < 0.001). Cumulative probabilities of HBsAg loss in patients with EOT IP10 > 93.5 pg/mL was 46.2% (vs. 4.7%, HR 10.94, p < 0.001). Cumulative probabilities of HBsAg loss in patients with EOT anti-HBc ≤78.42 IU/mL were 47.1% (vs. 5%, HR 12.27, p < 0.001). Patients with EOT IP10 > 93.5 pg/mL plus anti-HBc ≤78.42 IU/mL had the highest 24-month cumulative HBsAg loss rate (53.8% vs. 4%, HR 16.83, p < 0.001). Conclusion: High EOT IP10 and low EOT anti-HBc levels were related to both lower risk of VR and higher probability of HBsAg loss.