Abstract

The investment portfolio optimization issues have been widely discussed by scholars for more than 60 years. One of the key issues that emerge for researchers is to clarify which optimization approach helps to build the most efficient portfolio (in this case, the efficiency refers to the minimization of the investment risk and the maximization of the return). The objective of the study is to assess the fitness of a genetic algorithm approach in optimizing the investment portfolio. The paper analyzes the theoretical aspects of applying a genetic algorithm-based approach, then it adapts them to practical research. To build an investment portfolio, four Lithuanian enterprises listed on the OMX Baltics Stock Exchange Official List were selected in accordance with the chosen criteria. Then, by applying a genetic algorithm-based approach and using MatLab software, the optimum investment portfolio was constructed from the selected enterprises. The research results showed that the genetic algorithm-based portfolio in 2013 reached a better risk-return ratio than the portfolio optimized by the deterministic and stochastic programing methods. Also, better outcomes were achieved in comparison with the OMX Baltic Market Index. As a result, the hypothesis of the superiority of a portfolio, optimized on the basis of a genetic algorithm, is not rejected. However, it should be noted that in seeking for more reliable conclusions, further research should include more trial periods as the current study examined a period of one year. In this context, the operation of the approach in the context of a market downturn could be of particular interest.

Highlights

  • The investment portfolio optimization is a process by which an investor seeks to maximize the investment returns or minimize the risks

  • An investigation showed that the investment portfolio optimized by applying a genetic algorithm approach generates higher returns than the portfolio constructed by means of deterministic or stochastic programming methods

  • The return of the portfolio optimized by a genetic algorithm earned an annual return of 34.64% the over the year 2013, while the portfolio formed by means of deterministic and stochastic programming methods earned an annual return of 9.34%

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Summary

Introduction

The investment portfolio optimization is a process by which an investor seeks to maximize the investment returns or minimize the risks. Deterministic models are usually hard to implement in practice, since the global economic financial system is a complex, non-linear (non-linearity is progressive taxation, limited resources etc.) system consisting of a number of interrelated subsystems – enterprises, banks, stock exchanges – and exposed to external noise, such as political events or external disasters (Plikynas, Daniušis 2010) For this reason, some economists are trying to describe this continuously changing system by means of differential, usually stochastic, equation systems (differential equations containing noise members), perform computer simulations and compare the dynamics of simulation systems with the dynamics observed in the real market. This application of artificial intelligence facilitates more accurate solutions and increases the solution-making efficiency in investment processes

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