Abstract

Abstract The presented research describes methods, used to evaluate and choose more efficient solutions, regarding participation in stock market activities. A newly developed forecasting model, based on classically applied and time-proven methodologies, was created. Its aim was to ease the decision-making in the related area as well as to rationalize the optimal investment portfolio structure determination process.

Highlights

  • Investing has always been a risky business, but restraining from doing so may cause even greater harm, so people seek for the ways and methods of investing in order to insure their money and capital

  • The research provides the solutions for carrying out stock quote dynamics analysis, forecasting and decision-making process rationalization, making it much easier and more precise, while simultaneously providing in practice a verified optimization solution for investment portfolio structuring calculus

  • The results of the hypothesis testing turned out to be positive, confirming the hypothesis and in addition demonstrating the logics of regional diversification presumption, even despite the fact that the basic objective of the research was not to create an ideal investment portfolio;

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Summary

Introduction

Investing has always been a risky business, but restraining from doing so may cause even greater harm, so people seek for the ways and methods of investing in order to insure their money and capital. The founders of the fundamental analysis are David Dodd and Benjamin Graham, who were first to describe the principles of this methodology in their research called “Stock Analysis” in early 1934. This method is still popular among the investors who prefer it to other methods of forecasting and analysis. Charles Dow described his method in the “Wall Street” Journal in the beginning of the 18th century Even though this method turns out to be even older, it stays topical and becomes more and more popular nowadays. It is used by such successful trader as Larry Williams

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