Investigation of Vegetable Production Amount and the Size of Cultivation Areas in Kahramanmaraş with the Econometric Model

Abstract

This study aims to determine the relationship between the size of the agricultural land planted between 2016 and 2020 and its average yield in Afşin, Andırın, Dulkadiroğlu, Ekinözü, Elbistan, Göksun, Nurhak, Onikişubat, Pazarcık, Türkoğlu and Çağlayancerit districts of Kahramanmaraş province. For this, according to the data obtained from TUIK, 5 products selected in grain, which are thought to be produced more widely in the region, are respectively; Wheat, corn, barley, chickpea and sugar beet, while the others are probably 5 products selected in fruit, respectively; Apple, cherries, strawberries, mulberries and walnuts and the other 5 selected vegetables, which are thought to be produced more than others, are respectively; pepper, cucumber, acrid, tomato and garlic. According to the estimation results obtained in the research, it has been determined that there is a harmony relationship between the size of agricultural land and the amount of yield in selected crops in Kahramanmaraş districts between 2016 and 2020, and as a result of the vector autoregressive model (VAR) analysis, the most appropriate delay size is the 10th delay.