Abstract

This study aimed to determine the weight gain during pregnancy that minimizes the predicted probability of various perinatal adverse events according to the pre-pregnancy body mass index (BMI) and make recommendations for optimal weight gain in Japan. The Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology perinatal database for 2015-2017 was used. From the 719 723 deliveries included in this database, parturients with underlying diseases or missing data were excluded, and 419 114 deliveries were analyzed. A questionnaire survey was also conducted to weigh each perinatal adverse event. For each of the nine outcomes, a restricted cubic spline model was made to estimate the association between the "expected gestational weight gain at 40 weeks" and the outcome risk. Since the classes of medical facilities were generally the same, weights were assigned according to the mean of the questionnaires rather than by the class of the facility. For each pre-pregnancy BMI, the weight gains during pregnancy that minimized the predicted probability of various adverse perinatal events were 12-15, 10-13, 7-10, and upper limit of 5 kg for the underweight, normal-weight, obese 1, and obese ≥2 groups, respectively. The weight gain during pregnancy that minimizes the predicted probability of various perinatal adverse events according to the pre-pregnancy BMI was established.

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