Investigation of goodness of model data fit using PLSR and PCR regression models to determine informative wavelength band in NIR region for non-invasive blood glucose prediction

Abstract

Diabetes mellitus is a metabolic disorder characterized by the deficiency in insulin secretion or insulin action on target tissues. Diabetes being diagnosed, requires frequent monitoring. Current measurement techniques are invasive in nature, which is painful. Non-invasive measurement methods for the prediction of blood glucose is a big challenge. Hence this paper focuses on a comparative study to analyze the performance of the two regression models: partial least square regression (PLSR) and principal component regression (PCR) models to arrive at the best regression model for the prediction of blood glucose non-invasively based on NIR diffuse reflectance spectroscopy. The regression model developed involves spectral data collected from 32 subjects from a diabetic center using diffuse reflectance spectrometer (DRS). The spectroscopic data were acquired from the subjects both invasively using clinical method and non-invasively using DRS setup in the NIR spectral range whose wavelength ranges from 750 to 1040 nm. Multivariate analysis using PLSR is found to be a better regression model in terms of the fitted response and estimated mean square prediction error. It is observed that the mean square error value is 0.04 mg/dl for the tenth component in the PLSR model. The developed regression model also proves to be a useful tool in identifying the informative wavelength bands for blood glucose measurement.