Investigating the nexus between energy, socio-economic factors and environmental pollution: A geo-spatial multi regression approach

Abstract

The Yellow River Basin (YRB) and Yangtze River Basin (YZRB) stand as pivotal regions in China, holding paramount importance in both economic development and environmental security. However, the rapid pace of climate change and extensive human activities have dramatically reshaped these areas, leading to substantial alterations in natural landscapes and urban ecosystems. To ensure sustainable socio-economic growth, a profound understanding of the intricate interplay between socioeconomic factors and the emission of fine particulate matter (FPM) is imperative, along with an exploration of the underlying mechanisms governing these relationships. n this comprehensive study, we conducted spatial autocorrelation and spatial panel regression analyses, leveraging panel data encompassing the years from 2002 to 2021, derived from provincial-level administrative units within the YZRB and YRB. By adopting a holistic approach that considers comprehensive features and spatial effects, our research contributes substantively to the existing literature concerning the YZRB and YRB areas. Our analysis unveiled a notable decline in pollutant emissions over the course of the study period, yet it became evident that socioeconomic and energy-related factors continued to exert significant influence on FPM levels. Furthermore, we identified pronounced positive spatial autocorrelations in FPM emissions, suggesting a need for regionally tailored environmental management strategies. Employing various statistical tests, we rigorously examined the spatial autocorrelation patterns among the regions. Results from our random effect regression model and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) approach underscored the significant impact of socioeconomic and natural factors on FPM concentrations. Importantly, the magnitudes of these impacts exhibited variations contingent upon the specific river basin type. Within the YZRB, our findings emphasize the relevance of urbanization metrics, such as urban population, urban green space, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and economic spending, which displayed positive and statistically significant relationships with FPM concentrations. Conversely, in the YRB, the utilization of energy resources and natural assets emerged as pivotal determinants.