Investigating the effectiveness of Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI satellite data in monitoring the effects of drought on surface water resources in the Western Cape Province, South Africa

Abstract

Drought frequency and magnitude are increasing, posing significant risks to surface water bodies, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. Leveraging on moderate resolution satellite data, such as Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) and Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI), offers unique opportunities for monitoring surface water availability and drought impacts. In this study, we assessed the extent to which Landsat-8 OLI and Sentinel-2 MSI satellite data can be used to characterise and monitor the impacts of drought on water resources in the Western Cape, South Africa. Multispectral indices including Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Normalised Difference Water Index (NDWI), Modified Normalised Difference Water Index (MNDWI), and the Land Surface Water Index (LSWI+5) were computed to determine the most suitable method for surface water detection and drought monitoring. Sentinel-2-derived NDVI emerged as the most suitable index for mapping surface waterbodies, demonstrating an overall accuracy of 77.27%. However, LSWI+5 exhibited limitations, misclassifying built-up and mountainous areas as surface waterbodies. SPI, VCI, and WRSI effectively identified drought periods and correlated well with climate data, revealing low rainfall and high evapotranspiration rates during the 2016–2018 drought period. These findings provide valuable insights into surface water variability and the impacts of drought on water resources. Overall, our study underscores the feasibility of utilizing moderate resolution datasets to assess drought impacts on surface water resources, enabling improved water resource management, drought detection, and preparedness efforts in resource limited environments.